Why people are fed up with your Liberals Alwaysfishin.
Premier's bid to save face put Liberals on their HST road to ruin
Election budget projections changed drastically two days after election
By Vaughn Palmer, Vancouver SunApril 21, 2010 -As the B.C. Liberals reel from the backlash over the harmonized sales tax, their troubles can be traced back to a meeting that took place just two days after they won the last provincial election.
May 14, 2009. Deputy Finance Minister Graham Whitmarsh was providing Finance Minister Colin Hansen with a postelection update on the budget. Premier Gordon Campbell stopped by for a listen.
"A relatively casual meeting," as Campbell recalled it later. But the contents were anything but casual in terms of their impact on his third term of government.
"During that meeting was the first time that I heard that the projected, forecast deficit was going to be probably in excess of a billion dollars -- between $1.1 billion and $1.3 billion," the premier advised the legislature during debate last fall.
Campbell was taken aback. "I was very concerned about getting those numbers. I actually said to them: 'Why am I getting these numbers now?' "
The Liberals had tabled a budget with a deficit of $495 million. Many observers thought the figure was low-balled. But Campbell had insisted, as recently as the halfway mark of the campaign, that the number was a "maximum."
Now he was hearing that the deficit would be more than twice as hefty. And this just six weeks into the financial year.
It must have brought back memories of Campaign 1996 and the then victorious New Democratic Party government having to admit, just weeks after the election, that it was going to miss its budget target.
Campbell had exploited that so-called "fudge-it budget" scandal to lay waste to the NDP's credibility. He wasn't going to let the current version of the NDP do the same to him.
The finance ministry officials got their marching orders. "Go out and find out how we're going to meet the budget target of $495 million," the premier told them. "It was a relatively rapid meeting ... that work was commenced immediately on May 14."
Indeed it was. On the very next day, according to documents obtained recently under federal access to information legislation, Glen Armstrong, the provincial head of tax policy, contacted his federal counterpart to request information about the harmonized sales tax.
An obvious line of inquiry. The province had already tapped the available sources in its own budget, cutting travel, consulting contracts, grants and other forms of discretionary spending.
But Ottawa was offering "transition funding" to provinces that agreed to harmonize their provincial sales taxes with the federal goods and services tax. Ontario, which signed on earlier in the year, was in line for more than $4 billion. B.C.'s take on a per-capita basis would be $1.6 billion.
Genuine cash money. And more than enough of it to keep Campbell from looking ridiculous on the deficit, or so it must have seemed at the time.
Ten days after that initial inquiry, Hansen sidled up to his federal counterpart, Jim Flaherty, during a meeting of the country's finance ministers and confided that B.C. was reconsidering its long-standing opposition to harmonization.
Not just on his own initiative. Campbell backed him fully.
"Before the meeting, he said that he thought that we should be reconsidering our position with regard to HST," the premier recalled. "I said, 'Fine ... Find out what they're reaching in terms of an agreement between the federal government and Ontario, and see whether or not that would apply to British Columbia'."
Following the contact at the ministerial level, provincial officials determined that yes, if B.C. harmonized, it could expect equivalent terms to those being negotiated with Ontario, including a tidy sum of federal dollars.
Campbell kept a close eye on the talks. "I had a number of discussions with the minister of finance once he commenced having discussions with federal officials around the end of May."
By the time the cabinet was sworn in on June 10, harmonization was already in the works. Hansen, after taking the oath of office for another stint as finance minister, made a point of telling reporters that the government was still confident of the $495-million deficit. Meaning (as he admitted later), "I knew that I would be recommending the HST to my cabinet colleagues."
The HST didn't end up on the cabinet agenda for a decision until mid-July. By then, further deterioration in revenues (including bad news from Ottawa on income and corporate tax receipts) meant that even with the HST transition money, B.C. couldn't hope to hit Maximum Gordon's deficit target.
But also by then, the HST had acquired its own momentum. Ontario was doing it. The reduced tax burden would help the resource and export industries. The transition money would move the province back to balanced budgets sooner than without it.
"It was a cabinet decision," Campbell would say later. His ministers surely went along with him, as they always do. But the starting point on this particular road to ruin was May 14, when the premier ordered the finance ministry to find the money that would allow him to save face on the deficit.
vpalmer@vancouversun.com