Every year its always interesting to look at the Albion test fishery numbers to get an idea of when the fish are starting to move in then taper off.
http://www.pac.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/fraserriver/commercial/commercialalbionchum_e.htmLooking at the chum catch numbers from Sept 5th – Oct 3rd going back to 2005, I have to wonder if something's going on with 2011?
year #chum ----- ------- 2005 1,312 2006 1,546 2007 520 2008 1.388 2009 879 2010 1,365 2011 191 |
With the exceptions of 2007 & 2009, previous years have shown about ~1,400 fish over the same 1 month period. However this year shows a mere 1/7th of the historical numbers. That seems shockingly low.
They also have a page where you can get the data for ‘Catch Per Unit Effort’, and 2011 is way, way down from previous years.
Also, if you look at catch numbers, previous years always show a spike sometime between Sep 23rd - Oct 1st as the bulk of the run starts to move in, but that just has not occurred so far this year. Its possible that the run is simply late, which could explain the numbers, but it would have to be a full two weeks late to account for such low returns so far.
I don’t know if the catch methodology or reporting has changed and comparing year-to-year numbers like this simply isn’t appropriate? I haven’t heard any projections on the expected chum returns for this year, so maybe someone has additional info to chime in with.