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[Rodney]

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 2 to receive an update on the migration of Early Stuart sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

It is currently too early in the migration to update the Early Stuart sockeye total abundance. A more accurate assessment of Early Stuart run size should be available over the next several days. Some Early Summer-run sockeye (Chilliwack) have been identified in both marine and in-river samples.

On July 1st the discharge of the Fraser River at Hope was approximately 7197 cms, which is approximately 12% above average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 1st was 16.6 0 C, which is 2.2 0C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Tuesday, July 9, 2013. The first news release of the season is scheduled to be released on Friday, July 12, 2013.

[Rodney]

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 9 to receive an update on the migration of Early Stuart sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

Early Stuart sockeye are currently tracking the pre-season forecast of abundance of 211,000 fish. Their 50% migration timing through Area 20 is consistent with the pre-season forecast of July 5. Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance should be available later in July after their peak migration through marine areas has occurred.

On July 8 the discharge of the Fraser River at Hope was approximately 6,280 cms, which is approximately 3% above average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 8 was 16.40C, which is 1.30C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, July 12, 2013.

[Rodney]

Friday, July 12, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Friday, July 12 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

At the meeting today, the Fraser River Panel approved a run size estimate of 217,000 Early Stuart sockeye with 50% marine timing through Area 20 of July 4. Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance should be available later in July after their peak migration through marine areas has occurred.

On July 11, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was approximately 5,180 cms, which is approximately 12% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 11 was 16.9 C, which is 1.5 C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Tuesday, July 16, 2013.

[Rodney]

Friday, July 19, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Friday, July 19 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

At the meeting today, the run size estimate of 217,000 Early Stuart sockeye was decreased to 180,000 fish. The 50% marine migration timing of Early Stuart sockeye through Area 20 is estimated to be July 2, which is three days earlier than the pre-season forecast of July 5. Recent stock identification analysis of Area 20 gillnet test fishery samples indicates contributions of approximately 10% Early Stuart, 60% Early Summer-run, and 30% Summer-run sockeye. Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance are ongoing. Chilliwack and Pitt sockeye currently comprise most of the Early Summer-run sockeye migrating through the marine test fishing areas. Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance should be available later in July after their peak migration through marine areas has occurred.

On July 18, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 4,510 cms, which is approximately 19% lower than average for this date.

The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 18 was 16.7 C, which is 0.7 C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Tuesday, July 23, 2013.

[Dave]

On July 18, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 4,510 cms, which is approximately 19% lower than average for this date.
The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 18 was 16.7 C, which is 0.7 C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.
/quote]
Wow!.  That decreasing discharge and a hot next 3-4 weeks in the interior could be serious trouble for far swimming sockeye and chinooks.

[Rodney]

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 23 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

At the meeting today, the run size estimate of 180,000 Early Stuart sockeye was unchanged. Current assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance are tracking near the forecast level of abundance, while their marine timing is likely earlier than forecast. A more accurate assessment of their abundance and timing should be available after additional information is collected on the later-timed stocks within this group. The migration of Summer-run sockeye through the marine assessment areas has been lower than expected thus far, unless their marine timing is considerably later than expected. Assessments of Summer-run sockeye abundance will not be available until early August.

On July 22, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 4,030 cms, which is approximately 23% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 22 was 19.1C, which is 2.4C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, July 26, 2013.

[Dave]

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

On July 22, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 4,030 cms, which is approximately 23% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 22 was 19.1C, which is 2.4C higher than average for this date. Fraser River discharge levels and water temperatures will be monitored closely to determine if specific management actions are required during the in-river migratory period to help achieve sockeye escapement goals.

19.1 C is getting serious for sockeye, especially when the Stuart and Nechako rivers will be warmer still.

[buck]

Dave, your on holidays. GO FISHING and stay off of the web.

[Dave]

Back for a short while, then gone till late September.  Seriously, expect a high psm on these early and probably some mid summer stocks like Horsefly and upper Adams.  Hell, most likely the H will be closed to angling (and rightly so) due to warm water...

[Rodney]

Friday, July 26, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Friday, July 26 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

The marine migration of Early Stuart sockeye is complete. At the meeting today, the run size estimate of 180,000 Early Stuart was unchanged. Preliminary assessments of Early Summer- run sockeye run size abundance are exceeding the p50 or mid-point forecast of 253,000 fish. A more accurate assessment of their abundance should be available next week after further data are collected. It is early in the marine migration of Summer-run sockeye through marine assessment areas. Current assessments suggest that their marine timing may be later than expected. In-season assessments of Summer-run sockeye abundance will not be available until after their expected peak migration period through Juan de Fuca Strait in early August. Catches of pink salmon in marine test fisheries have been at much higher levels than normal for this early in the season, although it is likely that most of these pink salmon are from non-Fraser River stocks. DNA analysis of pink salmon tissue samples from marine test and commercial fisheries will be conducted over the next several weeks to provide estimates of stock composition.

On July 25, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 4,040 cms, which is approximately 19% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 25 was 20.0C, which is 2.9C higher than average for this date. Sustained exposure of sockeye to Fraser River water temperatures in this range may slow their migration and cause elevated levels of pre-spawning mortality. Fraser River water temperatures are forecast to decrease to slightly below 18C over the next few days.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Monday, July 29, 2013.

[Rodney]

Monday, July 29, 2013

The Fraser River Panel met Monday, July 29 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

The migration of Fraser River sockeye through the marine assessment areas has been modest over the past few days. At the meeting   today the Panel approved a run size estimate of 400,000 Early Summer-run sockeye, while the run size estimate for Early Stuart sockeye of 180,000 fish was unchanged. The 50% marine timing of Early Summer-run sockeye through Area 20 is estimated to be July 21, which is two days earlier than expected. Current assessments suggest that the marine timing of Summer-run sockeye may be later than expected, unless their return abundance is lower than forecast. An assessment of how their abundance is tracking relative to the forecast should be available by next week.

On July 28, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was 3,750 cms, which is approximately 21% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 28 was 19.7C, which is 2.3C higher than average for this date. Sustained exposure of sockeye to Fraser River water temperatures in this range may slow their migration and cause elevated levels of pre-spawning mortality.

CANADIAN FRASER RIVER PANEL AREA WATERS:

Remain closed to fishing.

UNITED STATES FRASER RIVER PANEL AREA WATERS:

TREATY INDIAN FISHERY:

Areas 4B, 5 and 6C: Open to drift gillnets 12:00 p.m. (noon), Tuesday, July 30, 2013, to 12:00 p.m. (noon) Saturday, August 3, 2013.

ALL CITIZEN FISHERY:

Remains closed to fishing.

(Note: U. S. All Citizen fishers should check the U.S. hotline and WDFW regulations before fishing as there are additional State of Washington regulations, including time restrictions that may be in effect).

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, August 2, 2013.

[dennisK]

Rod, so any guess on whether sockeye opening may occur this year?

[Rodney]

No.

[Fish Assassin]

No.

As in no guess or no opening ?

[coldfinger]

Is the non-tidal portion of the Fraser (Mission to Chilliwack) still closed for all salmon?
I've checked the DFO fisheries notice site and understand that there is no retention of sockeye but, any word yet on a possible opening for Chinooks?