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[SkagitDreamer]

Thanks for the cipher, dnibbles! First time I've been able to make sense of it

[dereke]

Great info dnibbles! Thanks

[VAGAbond]

Here are the San Juan sockeye test fishery results for 2014 plotted against 2009 and 2010.  These are raw numbers not normalized for the number of sets but they are usually similar.

[Dave]

Great graphic and run timing is so important ... another week or 10 days should tell us a lot more.

[Easywater]

Great graphic and run timing is so important ... another week or 10 days should tell us a lot more.

I noticed that too at the end of the article that you linked, Dave.

Page 49 & 50 show the timing of the late summer runs.
Interesting to note that the runs that coinside with this year (1994, 1998, 2002) all enter the river much later than other year's runs.

Numbers at Mission don't start to climb until the beginning of September then peak around mid-September.
The other year's runs start to climb in early August and end by mid-September.

[Rodney]

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 22 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

At the meeting today, the run size estimate of 240,000 Early Stuart sockeye and a 50% marine migration timing of July 9 was unchanged. Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance are ongoing.

On July 21, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was approximately 4,367 cms, which is approximately 18% lower than average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 21 was 17.9C, which is 1.3C higher than average for this date. Fraser River water temperatures are forecast to decrease to 17.2C over the next few days. At the meeting today, the Early Stuart proportional management adjustment factor of 2.12 was unchanged. Sustained exposure of sockeye to Fraser River water temperatures in this range may slow their migration and cause elevated levels of pre-spawn mortality.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, July 25, 2014.

http://www.psc.org/NewsRel/2014/Announcement06.pdf

[Rodney]

Friday, July 25, 2014

The Fraser River Panel met Friday, July 25 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

At the meeting today, the run size estimate of 240,000 Early Stuart sockeye and a 50% marine migration timing of July 9 was unchanged. The Early Stuart 50% marine migrating timing of July 9 is 2 days later than the final pre-season forecast of July 7 and 5 days later than the long-term median timing of July 4. At the meeting today, the Early Stuart proportional management adjustment factor was changed from 2.12 to 1.96. Assessments of Early Summer- run sockeye abundance are ongoing and run-size estimates should be available in early August after their peak migration through marine areas.

On July 24, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was approximately 4,903 cms, which is average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 24 was 17.1C, which is average for this date. Fraser River water temperatures are forecast to increase to 18.5C over the next few days.

All commercial fisheries in Panel Area waters remain closed to fishing at the present time.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Tuesday, July 29, 2014.

http://www.psc.org/NewsRel/2014/Announcement07.pdf

[andrew5]

man it looks like that Summer storm sure brought the water levels and temperatures back to average for this time of year.

[Dave]

That storm probably saved thousands of Early Stuart and Early summer sockeye, especially since the Nechako and Stuart rivers temperature have dropped below 20° ... now the next fish returning are about to find more warm water.  Tough year to be an early or summer run sockeye.

[dereke]

Ya temps in the interior about to be in the mid 30's in a few days again...

[clarkii]

I was going to do a hydrometric chart comparison of water temps, but to my surprise found 2013 as far back as I can go....

[Rodney]

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 29, 2014 to receive an update on the
migration of the Fraser sockeye runs and review the status of migration
conditions in the Fraser River watershed.   

The migration of sockeye past the Mission hydroacoustic site continues to be
modest to date.  Test fishing catches in the Area 12 and 13 seine fisheries
have increased in recent days, while Area 20 and gillnet fisheries in marine
areas and in river continue at modest levels.

Recent stock identification analyses indicate a low proportion of Early Stuart
sockeye remaining in the samples from some marine test fisheries.  In the
Fraser River, the proportions of each stock in the most recent samples are 5%
Early Stuart, 45% Early Summers and 50% Summers (mostly Harrison River).

The estimated upriver migration of sockeye past Mission through July 28th is
482,200 fish in total of which 211,400 are estimated to be Early Stuart
sockeye, 131,600 Early Summer run, 134,200 Summer run and 5,000 Late Run.

River discharge levels have decreased slightly over the past week to a level of
4,765 cms for July 28, which is very near the historical average discharge for
this date (4,755 cms). Water temperature at Qualark is 17.8 degrees Celsius,
which is 0.3 degrees Celsius above the average temperature for this date. 
Water temperatures are forecast to increase over the coming days and discharge
levels are expected to remain slightly below average for this period.

At today's meeting, the Fraser River Panel made no changes to the adopted run
size or management adjustments for Early Stuart sockeye.  Management
adjustments are additional fish that are allowed to escape upstream to help
achieve spawning escapement targets for Fraser River sockeye.

Based on current assessments, the migration of Early Stuart sockeye is nearly
completed through the marine areas and the lower river and FSC fisheries
targeting Early Summer and Summer run sockeye are being planned.  Fishers are
requested to check updated times and restrictions for their local area.

Commercial fishery planning is ongoing for Area B, D and H to begin fisheries
targeting Early Summer and Summer run sockeye.  The earliest possible fishery
for Area D gillnet would be Saturday, August 2 and the earliest possible
fisheries for Areas B and H would be Monday August 4.  Decisions on fishing
plans will be confirmed following the next Fraser Panel meeting on Friday,
August 1.
 
Retention of sockeye in Marine recreational fisheries is expected to begin as
early as Friday, August 1.  A separate fishery notice will be issued to confirm
details.

The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, August
1, 2014.


FOR MORE INFORMATION:

Jennifer Nener 604-666-6478

Fisheries & Oceans Operations Center - FN0711
Sent July 29, 2014 at 1613

[Rodney]

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

The Fraser River Panel met Tuesday, July 29 to receive an update on the migration of Fraser sockeye and review the status of migration conditions in the Fraser River watershed.

Assessments of Early Summer-run sockeye abundance are ongoing and run-size estimates should be available in early August after their peak migration through marine areas.

On July 28, the Fraser River water discharge at Hope was approximately 4,765 cms, which is average for this date. The temperature of the Fraser River at Qualark Creek on July 28 was 17.8 C, which is average for this date. Fraser River water temperatures are forecast to reach 20.5C over the next few days. Sustained water temperatures in this range can cause severe stress to migrating sockeye and may lead to significant en route mortality. Migration conditions for Fraser sockeye will be monitored closely over the next several weeks and appropriate management actions will be taken.

CANADIAN FRASER RIVER PANEL AREA WATERS:

Remain closed to fishing.

UNITED STATES FRASER RIVER PANEL AREA WATERS:

TREATY INDIAN FISHERY:

Areas 4B, 5 and 6C: Open to drift gillnets 12:00 p.m. (noon), Thursday, July31, 2014, to 12:00 p.m. (noon) Saturday, August 2, 2014.

NON INDIAN FISHERY:

Remains closed to fishing.

(Note: U. S. Non-Treaty fishers should check the U.S. hotline and WDFW regulations before fishing as there are additional State of Washington regulations, including time restrictions that may be in effect).
The next in-season meeting of the Panel is scheduled to occur on Friday, August 1, 2014.

http://www.psc.org/NewsRel/2014/Announcement08.pdf

[Rodney]

South Coast marine waters sockeye salmon openings, Friday August 1st

Fraser River mouth and tidal portion of the Fraser River sockeye salmon openings, Sunday August 3rd

[Humpy]

let the gong show begin