Run Status
DNA analysis of a fish sample recently collected from the Area 12 purse seine test fishery indicated Fraser
sockeye contributions of approximately 2% Early Summer-run, 52% Summer-run and 46% Late-run sockeye.
Analyses of recent DNA samples collected from the Area 12 test fishery indicate that 68% of the pink salmon
encountered are of Fraser River origin, 2% are from Puget Sound, and 30% are from South Coast stocks.
The estimated diversion rates of Fraser River sockeye and
pink salmon through Johnstone Strait have increased since
last week to 97% and 72%, respectively, based on recent purse seine test fishery catches in the two approach areas.At the meeting today, the currently
adopted pink salmon run-size estimate of 4,800,000 fish,
with a 50% marine timing through Area
20 of August 24, was left unchanged.
Fraser River Pink Salmon
At Monday’s meeting, the Panel adopted an interim pink run size estimate for management purposes of 4,800,000
with a 50% peak migration timing through Juan de Fuca Strait of August 24. The estimated escapement of pink
salmon past Mission through August 30 is 785,100 fish.
the Area 12 test fishery indicate that 68% of the pink salmon
encountered are of Fraser River origin, 2% are from Puget Sound, and 30% are from South Coast stocks.Based on very low sockeye encounter rates along the Juan de Fuca migration route, fisheries directed at Fraser
River pink salmon continued in U.S. Fraser River Panel waters this week. As announced, Treaty Indian fisheries
were opened with sockeye retention for ceremonial and subsistence purposes only. All Citizen reef-net fisheries
http://www.psc.org/publications/fraser-panel-in-season-information/fraser-river-panel-weekly-reports/My Opinion:
Based on a area 20 peak run time of August 24, I would say peak for the Lower Fraser to be September 5-10. The recent crash in pink numbers is a bit concerning. If numbers don't pick up over the long weekend expect them to drop the forecast come tuesday. Every year you can see there is 3 distinct bumps these must be associated with different runs. Tho I dont believe the PSC does DNA for pink so not sure what systems they are associated with.
The graph below is every 4 years because I did a sockeye and chinook graph at the same time. So I used every 4 years