this presentation is so long I had to split it in three posts
5. What about escapes?
This is John Volpe’s specialty, but I will give you my views. Yearly escapes of Atlantic salmon from BC salmon farms constitute a de facto bioinvasion as well as an ongoing sequence of introductions. Volpe et al. (2000) found juvenile Atlantic salmon of two year classes in BC's Tsitika river, showing that escaped Atlantics are capable of spawning under natural conditions in at least some Pacific streams. A consequence of their discovery is that that the probability P of colonization by Atlantic salmon in any given year is nonzero. By an elementary calculation the probability of colonization over n years is given by 1-(1-P)n which converges to 1 in the limit of large n. As very few streams in BC are carefully checked for Atlantic spawners, this probability calculation is retrospective as well as prospective. In other words, since farmed Atlantic salmon have been escaping in BC for over 16 years, the probability that they have already colonized is 1-(1-P)16. For example, if P is 1%, the chance that Atlantics have already colonized in BC is 15%, and if P is 2%, the chance that they have already colonized is 27%. (Emphasis mine – RM)
Bioinvasion by Atlantics, even in small numbers, is unlikely to benefit Pacific salmon. Spawned-out Atlantic salmon, known as kelts, may over winter in rivers, creating further potential for pathogen transmission to emerging Pacific fry with naive immune systems. In a worst-case scenario Atlantic salmon may become carriers of an infection to which they are immune but to which Pacific salmon are not immune. This type of thing has been known to happen with introduced species of birds, for example.
6. Notes on people and their qualifications
Qualifications aren’t important for researchers like Alexandra Morton because research has to stand up to review by other scientists in order to be published. (Emphasis mine – RM) However, who you work for is important: University scientists are promoted depending on the esteem in which they are held by their fellow scientists, and little else. Industry scientists are promoted based on their contribution to the profits of that industry. How government scientists are promoted depends on the integrity of their leadership.
Since DFO has on many occasions punished scientists for publishing opinions contrary to those of the minister, the leadership of DFO can fairly be described as lacking scientific integrity.
Let’s look at some of the players.
Patrick Moore
Pat Moore is a paid public relations person for the salmon farming industry. Pat is paid to emphasize the part of the story that benefits his client. If Pat worked for tobacco companies, he would no doubt go around saying that there is a lower incidence of Parkinson’s disease in smokers, while failing to add that smoking promotes many kinds of cancers and greatly lowers life expectancy.
Alexandra Morton
Dislikes working on sea lice, and would stop in a moment if she could. If DFO science were not corrupted by politics, she would still be studying whales full time. Instead she is doing DFO science’s job for it. She has no PhD and no institutional affiliation, so her science has to be even better than usual to get accepted. It has been accepted; there is nothing left for her to prove. I’ve read her manuscripts in draft, and I think they are excellent by any standard. (Emphasis mine – RM)
John Volpe
He’s a scientific hero. DFO tried to sabotage and discredit his research, and he refused to be intimidated. I’ve read his papers and I think they are excellent. (Emphasis added – RM)
What about administrators? Although qualifications aren’t important for researchers (because their work is reviewed by other scientists) qualifications are important for those who administer science because (a) the public has trouble judging science, and (b) science administrators make important funding and personnel decisions which are seldom reviewed. The most important qualification for a science administrator is an excellent research record, as manifested by either fundamental discoveries or many peer-review publications. Of course a science administrator must have other talents, but without a good research record he or she will not enjoy the respect needed to attract good people to his organization, nor will he have the courage to stand up to politicians who try to capture his organization to support a political agenda. The lack of scientific qualifications of top DFO science personnel explains the worthlessness of DFO’s work on salmon farming and the capture of DFO science by the salmon farming industry. (Emphasis mine – RM)
Wendy Watson-Wright
DFO’s Assistant Deputy Minister for Science, in other words, chief scientist of DFO. Her qualifications: a Bachelor’s in Phys. Ed., a Masters in Exercise Physiology, and a PhD in Physiology. Watson-Wright should be replaced by someone with an excellent research record in fisheries science who has had no previous connection with DFO.
Laura Richards
DFO’s regional director of Science. Having a PhD and co-authoring a few papers does not qualify you to manage science. Richards should be replaced by someone with an excellent research record who has never worked for DFO.
Donald J. Noakes
Why was a guy with a degree in computer science (not biology) and only six first-author publications appointed director of what was once the most highly regard fisheries research institute in the world? This is highly unusual in science.
The most reasonable explanation is that Dick Beamish, the director of PBS before Noakes, didn’t want to be in the position of having to feed the public a lot of baloney about salmon farming, so, around 1992 he stepped down and let Noakes take his place. Noakes was Beamish’s friend; they cultivated rhododendrons and collected beanie babies together.
Noakes had gone straight into DFO from graduate school in engineering, so he was never part of an organization that valued scientific integrity. What he understood was sales engineering, in which you use the science you know to sell your product. He was a sales engineer for salmon farming.
Dick Beamish
Many publications. Order of Canada for research on acid rain done in his youth. Beamish has worked very hard at not being involved with aquaculture because he knows that if he is forced to say the kinds of things that the politicians want him to say, his scientific reputation will go straight into the toilet. The important thing is this: He’s the one scientist at DFO that the politicians could not have ignored or discredited if he had read them the elementary science on sea-cage salmon farming. Noakes was his protégé, but Beamish failed to restrain Noakes or protest Noakes’ actions. He cooperated with Noakes on the sham investigation of the sea lice epidemic in the Broughton. For the last fifteen years, at least, Beamish has taken the easy road by going along with the politicians. They rewarded him with the resources to continue his research on coho and climate. (He made a Faustian bargain and now the devil has come for his soul in the form of politicians who want him to lie for them.) It’s probably impossible to fire someone with the Order of Canada, so Beamish should be forcibly retired.
The scientists at DFO now “studying” the Broughton sea lice (Dick Beamish and Brent Hargreaves) are smart guys. They know that the sea lice on pink salmon fry in the Broughton almost certainly come from salmon farms. But they also know (see my remark above) that absolute proof is astonishingly difficult to get in science. This gives them lots of room to wiggle and protect the industry by doing inconclusive studies. Dragging around in the center of the inlets with a big trawl, for example, as Dick Beamish does. Brent Hargreaves notes that Alexandra Morton did not account for variations in salinity, and sea lice epidemics have not occurred on Muchalat Inlet. They ought to know that just because you don’t get an epidemic every time doesn’t mean epidemics are unlikely. For example, if you dress in black from head to toe and walk down the middle of the highway at night you may survive several nights, but that does not mean your activity is prudent.
It’s not possible to do good science when one is worried about protecting an industry. When I spoke recently with DFO’s Brent Hargreaves about his research on sea lice he said “You can’t shut down a multimillion dollar industry just because somebody waves a placard.” The fact that the industry, and its wealth would be a consideration shows that he isn’t really doing science. When you do science, you can’t think about who will be harmed by your research and you can’t think about the money; you have to just think about the science. (Emphasis mine – RM)
The irony is that DFO’s denial of the inevitability of disease has hurt the salmon farming industry itself. Tremendous numbers of farm fish have been lost to disease simply because farms were sited on the principal migration routes of wild salmon.
7. Why salmon farming?
South American people are poor. We buy their fish cheap and sell them to rich North Americans for a fat profit. The problem is North Americans aren’t familiar with South American fish and they don’t like eating little fish. So we grind up those little fish and feed them to farm salmon and then sell the farm salmon to North Americans. The protein conversion ratios are terrible, but one can still make a profit. The irony is that when you farm big fish by feeding them little fish, you concentrate the toxins. The smallest fish are really the safest ones to eat. Therefore, by farming salmon we starve South Americans and poison North Americans. Does this make sense for a province with valuable wild salmon that are increasing in value every year?